Scenario Planning Agency Berlin – Strategic Scenario Analysis for Uncertain Times
Play through the future before decisions get tough

Scenario planning helps organizations stay able to act when the situation gets hard to read. We visualize trends and show how they interact. That’s how we develop plausible future scenarios. Clearly presented development paths and relationships help you draw the right conclusions.

What good scenario planning has to achieve

Not predicting the future, but asking better questions

Areas of application

When scenario planning with Ellery Studio makes sense

Strategic Orientation
The coming years are too uncertain for a straight-line plan
Organizations often face decisions where conventional planning isn't enough. Which development paths are plausible? Which risks are being underestimated? Which option still makes sense even if the environment develops differently? Scenario planning creates a shared space for thinking through questions like these.
Futures Wheel auf einer Pinnwand: Kreisdiagramm mit vielen bunten Haftnotizen zu Veränderungen in der Pflege
Energy Transition and Infrastructure
Technical systems meet political reality
In energy, heating, mobility, or digital infrastructure, technology, regulation, and public acceptance are closely intertwined. We know these topics from many projects and can get up to speed on the substance quickly. Here, scenario analysis helps spot dependencies, tipping points, and potential friction earlier.
Gedrucktes Szenario-Poster mit Spinnendiagramm zu CO₂-Preis, Planungssicherheit, Infrastrukturausbau und Umweltbewusstsein
Transformation and Change
Change takes more than a target image
Transformation processes often focus on the desired end state. Scenarios open up different paths for getting there. They show which developments could help, which forms of resistance are plausible, and where organizations need to become more robust.
Person erklärt auf einer Folie das methodische Vorgehen: Umfeldscanning, Schlüsselfaktoren, Szenarioentwicklung und Backcasting
Communicating Future Topics
Scenarios have to be understandable, or nobody will work with them
Many scenario processes end in long documents. We translate future visions into formats people can keep working with: illustrations, maps, workshops, exhibitions, presentations, or internal communication.
Ausstellungsraum „[bio’nd] Ausblicke in biobasierte Zukünfte“ mit gelbem Regal voller Bücher und Objekten auf Tischen
Want scenarios you can actually work with?
Our scenario planning services
From possible futures to strategic orientation
For us, scenario planning starts with the question of which decision, topic, or change process is truly at the center. From there, we design the right process: analytical enough for robust results, open enough for new perspectives.
Scenario Planning Processes
For organizations, programs, or alliances that want to think through several plausible future developments systematically.
Vortragende erklärt beim CityLAB Berlin SOKO 2025 den Zukunftstrichter auf einer Leinwand, davor sitzt das Publikum
Scenario Workshops
For leadership teams, project groups, stakeholders, or consortia that want to work on questions about the future together.
Teilnehmende stehen um einen Tisch und kleben Haftnotizen auf ein kreisförmiges Poster
Environmental Analysis and Uncertainties
For topics where key influencing factors, trends, tensions, and open developments need to be sorted out.
Digitale Tafel mit bunten Haftnotizen in drei Spalten: Einflussfaktoren, Ausprägungen und Aspekte
Scenario Narratives
For future visions that shouldn't stop at a matrix. We develop narrative descriptions that make the differences between scenarios tangible.
Zwei Seiten aus dem Szenario „Laborland“ der Indeland-Szenarien 2060: Szenariotext und Steckbrief einer Person
Scenario Visualization
For illustrations, infographics, future posters, maps, or presentations that make scenarios understandable and open to discussion.
Viele bunte Story-Karten rund um ein Smartphone, mit Fragen wie „Was wäre, wenn wir Wege finden, um mit der Natur zu kommunizieren?“
Backcasting and Action Areas
For processes that turn scenarios into concrete next steps, strategic options, or roadmaps.
Arbeitsblatt „Backcasting: Schritte aus der Zukunft in die Gegenwart“ mit Haftnotizen auf einer Zeitachse von 2045 bis 2025
Participatory Scenario Planning
For participation processes, real-world labs, workshops, or dialogue formats with multiple stakeholder groups.
Teilnehmende eines Engage-Workshops betrachten Papierfiguren mit Sprechblasen
Scenario Communication
For organizations that want to make existing scenarios more usable, internally or publicly.
Aufgeschlagene Bände der Publikation Indeland Szenarien 2060 mit den Szenarien Ernteland, Laborland, Gastland und Wandelland

Team Scenario Planning

Foresight backed by design

We combine futures research, strategic communication, information design, and participation. This is especially helpful for scenarios that are meant to do more than serve as internal thinking exercises. We bring different perspectives to one table and develop formats that can keep being used after the scenario workshop.
Eugen Litwinow, Managing Director von Ellery Studio, im Porträt
Eugen Litwinow Managing Director
Eugen Litwinow, Managing Director von Ellery Studio, im Porträt
Eugen Litwinow Managing Director
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    Back to the service overview

    Our strategic triad
    Curious, creative, and fully committed, we don't just think along, we think ahead. We cut through complexity to move quickly into action. That's how we shape the future, share knowledge, and guide change.
    Foresight
    We shape futures
    Strategic Foresight
    Futures Research
    Trend Radar
    Speculative Design
    Scenarios
    Design
    We communicate knowledge
    Infographics
    Data Visualization
    Explainer Videos
    Science Communication
    Spatial Communication
    Transformation
    We guide change
    Change Management
    Organizational Culture
    Workshop Facilitation
    Participation Formats
    Process Facilitation